Iran and Hezbollah don’t want a War with Israel
Iran and Hezbollah are currently don’t want a War with Israel, reflecting a strategic decision to steer clear of direct conflict. This choice likely arises from several considerations, such as the potential fallout from military action and a commitment to maintaining regional stability
Hezbollah’s reaction to the killing of senior official Fuad Shukr turned out to be less significant than many had expected. For weeks, both the Lebanese Shia Islamist group and its Iranian backers had been issuing threats of severe retaliation for the recent assassinations in Beirut and Tehran. However, it has become evident that neither Hezbollah nor Iran is willing to risk plunging into full-scale war at this moment. Iran seems to have postponed its response to the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran for a later date.
Meanwhile, Hezbollah aimed to target two highly significant locations – the Mossad headquarters and the IDF’s signals intelligence unit, 8200. Both sites are situated near Herzliya, north of Tel Aviv, in central Israel. Ultimately, Hezbollah was unable to hit either target. Approximately 230 rockets and 20 drones were launched at northern Israel, causing some damage to homes, and one Israeli sailor was killed, reportedly by debris from an interceptor.
In a statement, Hezbollah said this was the first phase of its response to the Israeli assassination of a senior commander Fouad Shukr in a strike in Beirut on 30 July. Iran and Hezbollah don’t want a War with Israel instead
It is widely believed Israel was behind the assassination of the political leader of Hamas, Ismail Haniyeh, in a strike in the Iranian capital Tehran the following day.
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Ever since the region has been waiting for a response from both Hezbollah and Iran.
For weeks, diplomats have been striving to prevent the crisis in Gaza from escalating into a broader regional conflict.
The United States has cautioned that the ongoing inability to reach a ceasefire and hostage release agreement between Israel and Hamas could jeopardize these diplomatic efforts.
However, despite significant pressure from the US, discussions aimed at establishing a ceasefire in Gaza after more than 10 months of conflict have yielded no results.
Israel’s military has stated it is prepared to engage in a war on two fronts: in Gaza and along its northern border with Lebanon.
Hezbollah poses a much greater challenge than Hamas.
It is estimated that Hezbollah possesses around 150,000 rockets, some of which can reach targets throughout Israel.
Its fighters, many of whom have combat experience from the war in Syria, are well-trained and better equipped than those of Hamas.
Nearly a year into the conflict in Gaza, some are questioning whether there is a desire in Israel for another war.
Hundreds of thousands of Israeli army reservists have been mobilized to fight in Gaza, often undertaking multiple tours of duty.
Yet, many Israelis, particularly those from the north, believe that Hezbollah must be addressed.
Since the onset of the war in Gaza, tens of thousands of residents in the north have been evacuated from their homes, with many losing their businesses.
In southern Lebanon as well, tens of thousands have been compelled to leave their homes due to concerns over potential Israeli strikes.
Hezbollah has announced that it has completed the initial phase of its response to the killing of Fouad Shukr.
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The strikes it launched on Israel this morning seem to have resulted in minimal damage, with few casualties reported on either side.
Israel claims it successfully prevented a significant attack from Hezbollah.
The pressing question now is whether we will witness a return to the usual cross-border “tit for tat” exchanges that have characterized the conflict since the onset of the war in Gaza last October.
Alternatively, could today’s violence escalate into a more serious confrontation?
Leaders from both Israel and Hezbollah have stated they do not desire another full-scale war, yet both assert they are prepared for one